Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting
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No one can anticipate the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to give it its best shot. With up to date news and a little however tough 14 Billion specification design, our AI is boldly anticipating the unpredictable. Join us as we try to respond to humanity's hardest questions.
Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, simply as 2 years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pressing concerns that are less simple to select. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining concerns from places like polymarket.com and training a large language design to be better at predicting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing improvements - research study paper inbound). This week we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion specification model which is in fact on the smaller side. (Some estimates suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from lots of months earlier so we have actually developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown area to make its finest prediction possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We positioned the following concerns to our AI and determined its action. While we have actually seen prediction improvements from our training, use these estimates for prop betting at your own danger.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% chance
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta element in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...
First, I'll take a look at the essential points from the articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been helpful of his profession, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her loved ones to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.
Some fans are thrilled, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically provided remarks Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has caused some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not resolving the speculation straight.
I think the bottom lines are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the odds and his reactions recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low possibility, perhaps around 5%, considering all elements.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the super bowl?
AI Final Prediction: thatswhathappened.wiki 79% opportunity
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" relocation, asteroidsathome.net now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this video game.
Alright, I'm trying to determine the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to comprehend what precisely a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it looks like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and method.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to execute the move. The post mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is pretty high. ... I also require to believe about the protective strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" strategy, they might change their defense accordingly, which could either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.
Considering that more than 5 looks like a considerable number however possible offered their confidence, I would estimate a possibility around 60-70% opportunity. This represents their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they'll utilize it several times, particularly if it works early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program performance?
AI Final Prediction: 65% chance
While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling backward and forward, but in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.
From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, dokuwiki.stream like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears significant because it reveals he's done it before, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more current posts, it points out that Lamar is moving away from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That could mean he's less most likely to resolve Trump this time.
However, he's likewise involved in a fight with Drake, which may offer him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement fit from Drake, so perhaps he's mindful about consisting of any controversial songs in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he might still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, Lamar may feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations during the halftime show, so there's a danger that such material may be limited or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant proceed huge phases. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which might offer him more innovative freedom. Plus, his previous behavior recommends he's not shy about expressing his viewpoints, even in public performances.
But I also remember reading that Lamar revealed tiredness about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could show he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, present shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the occasion's context-the likelihood seems to be reasonably high, possibly around 65%.
Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% opportunity
Lets be honest, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the reality that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Looks like theres somewhat of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't indicate to cause offense and that he really discovered it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might show he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Looking at the short articles, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food lover and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's an article specifically about his love for food, which recommends that he's an individual who delights in eating, especially with his group. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would partake in a cheeseburger, specifically if the scenario is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity
"Tails never fails?" You can't trick the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been predicting the coin toss and 53% are forecasting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 incredibly bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and believes anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.
Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there's some historical information that may influence this prediction.
First, I go through the articles supplied. They all mention the historic data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has turned up more frequently than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a slight edge, however it's not a huge distinction.
However, I remember that the outcome of a coin toss is normally thought about random. The slight historical edge for tails could be due to possibility. But when making predictions, in some cases people weigh historical information even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I ought to consider whether this historical predisposition should influence the possibility.
After believing about it, I choose that while the historical data reveals a slight choice for tails, it's not statistically considerable sufficient to move the likelihood far from 0.5. So, kenpoguy.com I'll opt for 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the minor historic edge exists however does not override the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity
We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely believe the very same. BUT, its authorities now because our AI says the chances are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to scams on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm trying to find out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite serious allegation. Let me break this down. First, clashofcryptos.trade I'm seeing a lot of posts that talk about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable employ recent games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get annoyed when their group loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "outrageous." They say there's no evidence of organized bias. That's a strong declaration from the individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it might indicate there's no genuine basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some reality to it.
Looking at the posts, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also pointed out that statistical analysis does not reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said data reveals the Chiefs have been punished more since 2022. That's fascinating since if they were getting unique treatment, you might expect less charges, right?
...
So, putting everything together, the possibility that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely really low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't dismiss every possibility, but incredibly unlikely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth viewing the video game still? I think I'll need to wait and see how the game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for an excellent game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was wrong about everything, at least it can gain from this.
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Our new Deepseek-based AI Says
Buster Permewan edited this page 2025-02-10 16:28:15 +00:00