yogicentral

Our new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

Share this post

Nobody can anticipate the future but at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to give it its finest shot. With approximately date news and a small however lively 14 Billion criterion design, our AI is boldly predicting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to respond to humanity's hardest questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as two years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pressing concerns that are less simple to pin down. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has been mining questions from places like polymarket.com and training a big language design to be much better at anticipating the future (and have actually seen some intriguing improvements - research study paper inbound). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can give us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

For more updates from the AI world subscribe to my newsletter!

Background

Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is actually on the smaller side. (Some quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from numerous months back so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its finest prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We positioned the following concerns to our AI and assessed its reaction. While we have seen prediction enhancements from our training, use these price quotes for prop betting at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity

Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta element in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...

First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her good friends and household to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.

Some fans are excited, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially provided comments Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not resolving the speculation straight.

I think the bottom lines are the speculation and his evasive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential occasion, the odds and his reactions suggest it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd approximate a low probability, maybe around 5%, considering all factors.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a different front-tush being pushed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's comparable attempts? Looks like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.

Alright, I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend what exactly a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and method.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to carry out the move. The article mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is pretty high. ... I also need to consider the protective strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might change their defense appropriately, which might either increase or decrease the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than five seems like a substantial number however possible offered their self-confidence, I would estimate a possibility around 60-70% opportunity. This represents their preparation, confidence in the method, and the likelihood that they'll utilize it several times, especially if it's efficient early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI may not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling backward and forward, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a battle.

From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement throughout a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That appears considerable due to the fact that it reveals he's done it before, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more current posts, it points out that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That might suggest he's less likely to deal with Trump this time.

However, he's likewise associated with a feud with Drake, oke.zone which may provide him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a libel fit from Drake, so possibly he bewares about consisting of any questionable songs in the performance. But because he won the Grammys for that track, he might still want to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar might feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political statements during the halftime show, so there's a threat that such material might be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant carry on big stages. He's the very first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which may give him more imaginative flexibility. Plus, his past habits suggests he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.

But I also remember reading that Lamar expressed tiredness about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less motivated to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's concentrating on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, current shifts in focus, legal issues, and the event's context-the possibility appears to be moderately high, perhaps around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: forum.pinoo.com.tr 25% possibility

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the fact that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its forecast? Appears like theres somewhat of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste success, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't mean to trigger offense which he actually found it funny himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might show he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.

Looking at the articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food lover and likes cheeseburgers. There's a post specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who takes pleasure in eating, especially with his team. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the situation is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% chance

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't trick the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and believes anything can take place when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historic data that might influence this forecast.

First, I go through the short articles provided. They all discuss the historic statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has actually shown up regularly than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a slight edge, but it's not a big difference.

However, I remember that the outcome of a coin toss is normally considered random. The small historic edge for tails might be due to possibility. But when making forecasts, sometimes individuals weigh historical data even if it's not statistically significant. So, I should think about whether this historical bias needs to affect the probability.

After believing about it, I decide that while the historical data shows a slight choice for tails, it's not statistically considerable sufficient to move the likelihood far from 0.5. So, I'll opt for 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the small historic edge exists but does not bypass the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility

We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would probably believe the very same. BUT, its official now since our AI says the opportunities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the possibility that the will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite major allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of posts that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful calls in recent video games, especially the AFC National championship. That does appear to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their group loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "ludicrous." They say there's no proof of methodical predisposition. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it might suggest there's no genuine basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some fact to it.

Taking a look at the posts, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also mentioned that analytical analysis doesn't show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data reveals the Chiefs have been punished more since 2022. That's interesting because if they were getting special treatment, you might expect less penalties, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the possibility that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably extremely low. Maybe not zero because you can't dismiss every possibility, however incredibly not likely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth seeing the game still? I think I'll have to wait and see how the game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a great video game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was wrong about whatever, at least it can gain from this.