1 Our Brand-new Deepseek-based AI Says
Adam Roussel edited this page 2025-02-11 11:24:04 +00:00


Our new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl predictions from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting

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No one can forecast the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to provide it its best shot. With as much as date news and a little but lively 14 Billion parameter design, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to address mankind's toughest concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as 2 years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain numerous pressing concerns that are less simple to pin down. Our company, Lightning Rod Labs, has been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be better at forecasting the future (and have seen some appealing enhancements - research study paper incoming). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can give us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is really on the smaller side. (Some price quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from many months back so we have constructed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unidentified territory to make its finest forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We positioned the following concerns to our AI and gauged its response. While we have seen prediction enhancements from our training, utilize these estimates for prop wagering at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity

And so it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta factor in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...

First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the short articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been supportive of his profession, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her family and friends to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.

Some fans are excited, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially offered comments Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and yewiki.org not dealing with the speculation straight.

I think the essential points are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the chances and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd approximate a low possibility, possibly around 5%, thinking about all factors.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" move, now its just a different front-tush being pushed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Appears like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.

Alright, I'm attempting to find out the possibility that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend just what a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it seems like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to press off protectors. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and method.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to execute the relocation. The short article discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is quite high. ... I likewise need to think of the defensive strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are aware of the Eagles' "tush-push" strategy, they may change their defense accordingly, which could either increase or reduce the number of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than 5 looks like a significant number however possible given their confidence, I would estimate a possibility around 60-70% chance. This represents their preparation, self-confidence in the method, and the possibility that they'll utilize it a number of times, specifically if it's reliable early on.

Will diss Donald Trump during the halftime program performance?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.

From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration during a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears substantial because it reveals he's done it in the past, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more current posts, it discusses that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on personal expression. That might imply he's less most likely to deal with Trump this time.

However, he's also included in a fight with Drake, which may provide him reasons to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a character assassination suit from Drake, so possibly he's mindful about including any questionable songs in the efficiency. But because he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent occasion, Lamar may feel obliged to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political statements throughout the halftime show, so there's a danger that such material may be limited or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making strong relocations on big stages. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which might give him more innovative flexibility. Plus, his previous habits recommends he's not shy about expressing his viewpoints, even in public efficiencies.

But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might indicate he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's concentrating on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, present shifts in focus, legal issues, and the event's context-the probability seems to be moderately high, perhaps around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the very bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Looks like theres somewhat of a chance that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't suggest to trigger offense which he in fact found it humorous himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might suggest he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Taking a look at the short articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food lover and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a short article particularly about his love for food, which recommends that he's a person who enjoys eating, especially with his team. So, if there were strategies to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would engage in a cheeseburger, particularly if the situation is on screen for an event.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility

"Tails never fails?" You can't trick the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been forecasting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 very bowls. Potentially financially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and thinks anything can take place when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historical information that may influence this forecast.

First, I read through the posts offered. They all point out the historic statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It seems like tails has turned up more frequently than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a slight edge, but it's not a substantial distinction.

However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is generally considered random. The small historical edge for tails might be due to opportunity. But when making forecasts, often individuals weigh historical information even if it's not statistically significant. So, I should think about whether this historic predisposition should affect the likelihood.

After thinking of it, I decide that while the historic data reveals a slight preference for tails, it's not statistically significant enough to move the probability away from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the slight historical edge exists but does not override the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% chance

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I guarantee we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would probably believe the exact same. BUT, its authorities now because our AI states the possibilities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to determine the possibility that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite serious allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of posts that talk about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some doubtful hire current games, specifically the AFC National championship. That does seem to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get irritated when their team loses due to what they view as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "ludicrous." They say there's no evidence of organized predisposition. That's a strong statement from the people in charge. If they're denying it, it may indicate there's no real basis or they would have addressed it differently if there was some fact to it.

Taking a look at the articles, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also pointed out that statistical analysis doesn't show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have been punished more because 2022. That's fascinating due to the fact that if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate less penalties, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't eliminate every possibility, but exceptionally not likely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth watching the video game still? I guess I'll have to wait and see how the video game ends up before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for an excellent video game! And hi, if it turns out our AI was wrong about everything, a minimum of it can gain from this.